Claims Inflation - a known unknown

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Over the last year I worked with two colleagues of mine on the subject of inflation and claims inflation in particular. I didn't expect it to be such a challenging topic, but we ended up with more questions than answers. The key question and biggest challenge is to define what inflation, or indeed claims inflation actually is and how to measure it. We published a summary of our thoughts and findings in this month's issue of The Actuary.

Last year's discussion about the differences between the retail price index (RPI) and consumer price index (CPI) in the UK only exemplified the challenge. The economist Tim Harford illustrated the differences between the RPI and CPI with a simple example of price changes for a shirt and blouse in his Radio 4 programme More or Less. The radio podcast is still available from the BBC. Start listening after about 18 minutes into the show.



2 comments :

  1. Willem Kerstholt14 May 2013 10:30

    Good stuff Markus. Solvency II pretty much forces us to take a separate approach to inflation modelling in everything we do, so it's a must read for me.

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  2. Hi Willem, let me know if you have found a clear definition for claim inflation and how to measure it.
    Markus

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